西太平洋赤道海域的热量平衡   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

姚兰昌  陈有虞 《高原气象》1988,(1)

本文利用1986年11月中国科学院实验3号考察船在西太平洋赤道海域(0°～5°N,130°～150°E)考察所获得的29天辐射资料和同期取得的温、压、湿、风和探空等资料,计算了这一海域11月份的热量平衡各量值和整层气柱的加热量。结果表明:该海域是一个强热源区,其上空大气也是一个强热源区。  相似文献   

Monitoring,causality, and uncertainty in a stratospheric context     

A. Barrie Pittock 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1980,118(1):643-660

Our increasingly complex understanding of stratospheric chemistry and transport processes leaves us with various theoretical possibilities of appreciable and perhaps serious environmental impact due to human activities. These possibilities raise policy questions in which the economic and other costs of regulating human activities must be weighed against the possible consequences of no such regulation. The natural variability of the atmosphere, the physical and other limitations on our global sampling and monitoring abilities, and the difficulties in establishing causal connections leave us in a state of uncertainty as to the reality and magnitude of at least some of these theoretical environmental impacts. Policy-makers must make decisions in the face of these uncertainties.The proper role of scientists as such in narrowing and quantifying the uncertainties is discussed, with particular regard to the evidence that cultural and other biases often affect individual scientists' conclusions. Conscious efforts are needed to minimize bias, quantify uncertainties, and speed up the process of scientific consensus-building. A careful distinction should be drawn between scientifically determined probabilities, and cost-benefit analyses which necessarily involve value judgments.  相似文献   

梅雨锋锋生过程的诊断分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

易兵  乔全明  张立 《大气科学》1991,15(2):92-100

本文分析了一次梅雨锋的锋生过程,并利用锋生函数和温度平衡方程,讨论了影响梅雨锋形成和维持的因子。结果表明:感热加热是使江淮流域低层锋区消失的主要原因,潜热加热以及水平运动造成的变形是维持梅雨锋存在的重要因素。  相似文献   

春季高原东侧水平稳定层分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

朱光宇  吴宝俊  胡圣昌 《大气科学》1991,15(6):70-77

本文利用稠密的探空资料,分析了春季高原东侧的水平稳定层。确定了该稳定层的范围和强度,指出了其温度、湿度和流场特征,并初步探讨了其维持机制。  相似文献   

弹性椭球地球模型的海潮效应     

金标仁  杨鹏辉 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1991,(2)

本文推证了比较完整的弹性椭球地球模型的海潮负荷理论和计算公式,它对弹性球型地球模型海潮效应计算的发展起了一定的作用。  相似文献   

HOUGH变换在海浪遥感图像处理中的应用     

刘政凯  毕亚雷  黄润恒 《遥感学报》1991,(1)

本文提出了一种以FIOUGH变换为基础的海浪波长波向分析法,并对SEASAT合成孔径雷达获取的海洋遥感图像进行了方向和波长分析。该方法模拟人类纹理视觉机理,首先应用CFCM动态聚类方法对波峰、波谷和过渡带进行分类,然后采用随机行走模型对分类图像进行滤波,以获得整图的全局走向信息,再以此先验信息为先导对分类后的纹理图像进行定向跟踪拟合,得到代表海浪波峰的直线族图,最后在再对此图进行HOUGH变换和分析的基础上得到精确的波长与波向。  相似文献   

Estimation of statistical parameters for censored lognormal hydraulic conductivity measurements     

Xian-Huan Wen 《Mathematical Geology》1994,26(6):717-731

Field tests of hydraulic conductivity (e.g., injection test, pumping test, etc.) in low permeability formations are subject to censoring due to the detection limit of the instruments used. An iterative method of estimating the mean and variance of hydraulic conductivity data with a presumed log-normal distribution function is presented. This method accounts for the data that are actually below the lower detection limit (called truncated data) and thus gives distribution parameters that are more representative for the underlying distribution. The proposed method is then tested on two simulated normally distributed random datasets having different variances. The results show that the means and variances estimated by the proposed method are very accurate. Finally, the method is used to estimate the mean and variance of hydraulic conductivity data from single hole water injection tests in a fractured geological formation.  相似文献   

Annual variation of atmospheric carbonyl sulfide in the marine atmosphere in the Southern Indian Ocean     

N. Mihalopoulos  J. P. Putaud  B. C. Nguyen  S. Belviso 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1991,13(1):73-82

Measurements of the concentrations of carbonyl sulfide (COS) in the marine atmosphere were made over a period of two years in the southern Indian Ocean (Amsterdam Island, 37°50 S–77°31 E; March 1987–February 1988 and April 1989–February 1990). The mean atmospheric COS concentration for the whole period was 475±48 pptv (n=544). Atmospheric COS concentrations show no significant seasonal variation with a summer to winter ratio of 1.05. Taking into account the observed variability of the atmospheric COS concentration (10%), a value of 1.4 yr is estimated as a lower limit for the atmospheric COS lifetime. A comparison of the COS data at Amsterdam Island with those obtained in the Southern Hemisphere in the past 12 yr does not reveal any significant trend in the tropospheric background COS mixing ratio.  相似文献   

多普勒雷达探测“艾利”台风风场不对称结构   总被引：12，自引：3，他引：12       下载免费PDF全文

魏应植汤达章  许健民吴陈锋 《应用气象学报》2007,18(3):285-294

2004年8月25日, “艾利”台风在靠近我国台湾东北部海域后不同于正常路径, 先后发生两次左折, 先是西北转偏西, 再偏西转西南, 这种路径在历史上极为罕见。通过“艾利”台风的雷达观测事实, 从单多普勒雷达和双多普勒雷达均发现在台风前进方向的右前方, 即西北象限风速极值大于其他象限, 进一步证明了“艾利”台风的风场分布遵循波数为1的非对称性, 从位于台风不同象限的福州长乐和厦门两站雷达资料, 以及常规的地面观测、高空探测资料和NCEP数值预报再分析资料都得到证实。研究表明, “艾利”台风处在大陆高压东南侧, 台风外围存在一支7 m/s左右的环境风场引导气流。因此, 西北象限风速极值大于其他象限的不对称分布可能是由环境风场和台风本身两方面共同造成的, 这种不对称分布有利于维持“艾利”台风向西南方向移动。在我国东南沿海地区, 由于单部多普勒雷达不可能同时探测到台风的西北、东北和西南3个象限的风速极值, 而双多普勒雷达或多多普勒雷达联合探测台风, 则可以同时探测到3个象限的风速极值, 根据风速极值可能存在的不对称分布情况来预测台风的路径转折趋势, 因此重视双多普勒雷达或多多普勒雷达联合探测对于提高监测预报水平具有重要的意义。  相似文献   

1480型多普勒天气雷达中尺度气旋识别模块设计   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

陶岚  顾松山  徐芬  夏文梅 《南京气象学院学报》2007,30(3):417-423

借鉴国内外中尺度气旋识别算法的研究成果特别是NSSL(National Severe Storm Laboratory)的中尺度气旋识别算法,结合多普勒天气雷达二次产品软件的特点,提出了改进的中尺度气旋识别算法,以动态链接库的形式,设计完成了中尺度气旋识别模块.对2002年5月27日安徽省北部地区的一次强对流天气过程的雷达资料进行了分析,并与北京敏视达(METSTAR)雷达有限公司Build 10.8软件系统生成的中尺度气旋产品进行了对比分析,结果表明该模块有比较好的识别能力,预警效果较好.  相似文献